|Maybe there is something I don't understand...||94Nole|
Jul 28, 2003 12:19 PM
|but why would Ullrich and his Bianchi team not attack on Sunday in an effort to make up the time deficit?
Guess I don't understand cycling well enough. Has it proven to be a fruitless undertaking? I seemed to hear Paul and Phil discussing that there have been TdF winners who won on the last day that was not an ITT.
|I don't think so,||TJeanloz|
Jul 28, 2003 12:27 PM
|I don't think there has ever been a Tour won on the last day (not counting ITTs) - certainly not since the Champs Elysees became the venue. It is futile. There is no way that he could get into a break, that would be allowed to gain 1 minute, considering the USPS team would be strong enough to pull it back (4 or 5 of them finished in the top 10 of the TT). All of the sprinters teams would also chase. Figure CSC would also chase. Basically, there isn't a snowballs chance, unless the gap was <30 seconds, where you could launch a surprise attack in the last lap or two, and get the time bonus.|
|It's not that complicated||mohair_chair|
Jul 28, 2003 12:31 PM
|Think about it. How hard would it be for Ullrich to get away with a couple of teammates and take back a minute plus on Lance, or even 40+ seconds + 20 second win bonus?
Answer: very, very hard. Virtually impossible. USPS would be highly motivated to chase Bianchi down if they even allowed them to get away.
If Fignon had had one more stage in 1989 to make up 8 seconds, I would think he would attack Lemond to take the intermediate sprints. But 8 seconds is a lot less than a minute.
The only way Ullrich could succeed is if he carefully timed a brutal surprise attack to correspond with a railroad crossing. As the gates come down, Ullrich slips across but Lance is trapped and has to wait for the train. That should be worth at least a 20 second gap, maybe more. But you can guarantee that USPS would sacrifice every last man in a team time trial to the death to chase him down. And let's not forget who the best TTT team was in this Tour!
|agree; absolutely futile, and would look foolish even trying nm||DougSloan|
Jul 28, 2003 12:50 PM
|not to mention, it would show poor form||curtybirdychopper|
Jul 28, 2003 1:01 PM
|I think it would show a disrespect for Lance and for the tour to try to make up over 1 min on the stage into Paris. Isnt this stage more of a show of the sprinters for the fans, and that the race is really over after the second to last stage?|| |