|Ullrich has been suffering in Mtn stages though......||CARBON110|
Jul 18, 2003 7:57 AM
|Highly impresssive today but he was just hanging on the first Mtn top finish stage. My guess is he spent alot of time working on his TT since his team is so weak in the TTT. Then he lost a bunch of weight to help compensate for lack of time focused on climbing. But I guess we will see tomorrow and Sunday. Which day do you think will be bigger Sat. or Sun? My guess is Lance will drop Ullrich when Mayo goes on attack and use Mayo as a leadout man.....|
Jul 18, 2003 8:05 AM
|I can't imagine anyone using Mayo as a leadout man. He was absolutely "dancing on the pedals" up Alp Duez (sp?). I wonder if he has more climbs like that in his legs. If he could put out more efforts like that, he will be hard to follow.|
|Perhaps you didnt notice Lance and Joseba........||CARBON110|
Jul 18, 2003 8:14 AM
|Before the crash they dropped Everyone ! Lance will follow the climber he feels the strongest at a pivotal point in the climb that best suits him. This year he and Johan said they wanted to win by using the least amount of energy possible. Postal will set a brutal pace again, few will follow and then Lance will get the time bonus for first and whatever stands between he and 2nd. Several of the spanish climbers can attack but only 3 or 4 people matter. So, if he can he will try and take 1st but, after the watching the last Four TDFs Lance will put some serious time in. Remember 2001 when there was a stage just like Sundays stage and Lance put out like 90 seconds plus on Ullrich. Lance used Joseba right before the crash as a lead out man and everyone knows Ullrich is a power climber. He contains but isnt explosive. Id like to see Lance counter attack like he did Joseba last year hen Beloki attacked the only time. The good thing is everyone knows Lance can drop the big guns in Mtns day after day|
|Or remember 2000 where Lance bonked . . .||jumphress|
Jul 18, 2003 8:37 AM
|. . . on the Joux-Plane stage. There was a butt load of attacks that day and Postal covered a lot of them. By the time Lance reached the final climb, he had only Kevin Livingston to set tempo on the lower slopes. Then Lance took over and shed everyone but Heras (then with Kelme) and Virinque. Then Heras attacked, Lance started going backwards, and a bunch of riders, including Ullrich, came back to him. Ullrich ended up taking 1:35 back from Lance. (Both Livingston and Bruyneel were fined for irregular feeding.)
I would confidently wager that Bruyneel wanted a lot more of a time advantage at this point.
|the attacks will be interesting.||MrDan|
Jul 18, 2003 8:11 AM
Lance will use any attack for a lead-out at this point. I'm not taking anything away from Ulrich, but there are plenty of reasons LA has 4... he's a smart and strong racer. I do want to see him win, but at this point I think he's more worried about Vinokourov for the next couple stages. It's either going to be interesting as !@#, or perhaps LA will just pull away... he knows how you ride the next day depends on how you rode the days before... alaways measuring his output.
|re: Ullrich has been suffering in Mtn stages though......||jschrotz|
Jul 18, 2003 8:13 AM
|Ullrich had also been sick a day or two before Alpe D'Huez and still wasn't back to full strength. Even then, he only lost 1:20 or so to Lance, when in '01 he lost 2:00 to him when he was in perfect health. He may still lose a little to Armstrong in the mountains, but he laid a pretty good arse-beating on him today that will do a lot for his confidence.
And what about Vinokourov? He only lost 30 sec. to Lance. That was the other big surprise of the day. Fantastic ride by him.
|Vinokourov has had an amazing year "nm"||CARBON110|
Jul 18, 2003 8:16 AM
|Riding with the strength of his fallen compatriot (nm)||hrv|
Jul 18, 2003 8:21 AM