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Simoni's got a lot of work ahead of him...(15 posts)

Simoni's got a lot of work ahead of him...James OCLV
Jul 9, 2003 7:37 AM
if he wants to be able to back up all of his comments...

He's already ~3 minutes down on Lance. That'll be tough to make up...
Time to separate contenders from pretenders (nm)t-bill
Jul 9, 2003 7:49 AM
re: Simoni's got a lot of work ahead of him...Jon Billheimer
Jul 9, 2003 7:52 AM
He sure does! Time to put his money where his mouth is.
Simoni lost 3:02, Mayo lost 3:22 in the TTT.Len J
Jul 9, 2003 8:03 AM
It should make the mountains more interesting, if they decide to attack early & often.

On the other hand, ONCE (Beloki), Bianci (Ullrich) have a motivation to protect their guys from losing too much time to Simoni & Mayo. Postal isn't the only team with something to lose.

Now the Question, between now & Saturday, Does Postal defend the Yellow. I suspect that they will minimally defend, mainly against the real competitors for the GC, otherwise, they let breaks go (within reason).

Tomorrow could be a day of a big break as everyone else tries to recover for the mountains.

Len
Tactically, this could be tough...James OCLV
Jul 9, 2003 8:08 AM
I can't see them defending at all. Even taking responsibility for pace making. They can't afford to be tired for the mountains...
I agree...Dwayne Barry
Jul 9, 2003 8:16 AM
I think they'll just take responsibility until an acceptable break is formed and then try to get the sprinter's teams to take over. Good recipe for a break to work, and possibly gain 10's of minutes like happened a couple of years ago. I don't think there is any yellow jersey motivation left for any of the sprinter's teams. So pretty much unless Lotto or FB, maybe FDJ/Telekom are willing to chase Postal may end up riding tempo anyway.
I agree too...lanterne rouge
Jul 9, 2003 8:44 AM
I think Postal will not defend the jersey, much more concern for the big G.C. contenders trying to get away as opposed to a break containing stage takers. Although I doubt USPS would let any of them get tens of minutes which means they may indeed end up riding tempo at the front.
Don't think they have to...t-bill
Jul 9, 2003 8:48 AM
.. at least for the next two days. The way the sprinters are chomping at the bit for stage wins, I don't think that Lotto, Fassa Telekom, or FDJ will let any break aways survive. All USPS has to do is stay with the peleton. The sprinters are so far down on GC now that even the time bonuses won't mean much now. VHP should be able to maintain the Maillot Jaune at least until the first mountain stage. Unless... the peleton misjudges a break like they did with Francois Simon a couple years ago.
Misjudges?Dwayne Barry
Jul 9, 2003 8:57 AM
That was the break that finished around 30 minutes ahead right. When Aitor Gonzalez first showed himself, chasing down attack after attack by Dutch and Belgium riders in the finale.

That was a case of no one being willing to take the race responsibility. Postal let it go that day, and Kiveliv became the source of some minor consternation once they hit the mountians. Tommorrow or Friday could see the same if the right combination of riders make the break.
Misjudges?Jon Billheimer
Jul 9, 2003 9:32 AM
Lance has already said they won't allow a repeat of last year.
Then it sounds like...Dwayne Barry
Jul 9, 2003 9:44 AM
at least some of the Postal boys better get ready to work.
Postal won't defend they will get flap from sprinters teams butOld_school_nik
Jul 9, 2003 7:11 PM
they learned the lessons from Once who stipidly by many accounts wasted team energy before the mountains in keeping Igor in yellow ... the sprinters teams will yap about postal not helping them chase down the breaks that will be plentiful with everyone knowing that Postal won't chase...

Pena will have jersey until end of Alp De Huez stage...

-Nik
Simoni how's the crow? Yummy I bet! What a punk!Old_school_nik
Jul 9, 2003 7:08 PM
Simoni 30 days ago "we will challenge Postal in the TTT and attack Armstrong in the mountains and make life difficlut for him" - (that's close to what he said at least)

It should make him aggressive in the Mts though... but he isn't going to drop all the climbers and Lance for 3 minutes... I predict he finishes just out of the top 5..

-Nik
re:Simoni how's the crow? Yummy I bet! What a punk!cyclopathic
Jul 10, 2003 6:17 AM
Nik,

Gilberto never said he will win the tour all he said "we will challenge Postal in the TTT and attack Armstrong in the mountains and make life difficlut for him".

I doubt LA would crack and loose alot of time, but he might be in difficulty. As the metter of fact I won't be surprized if he gets dropped and looses 20-40sec per mnt top finish. Not enogh to loose tour.

Here's a short list of podium finishers: LA, Ulrich, Simoni, Beloki, Heras. Possibly Mayo and Hamilton. My bet it will be LA vs Jan for 1st and Simoni vs Heras for 3rd.
re:Simoni how's the crow? Yummy I bet! What a punk!Old_school_nik
Jul 10, 2003 1:19 PM
Agreed.

Its just that all the classy riders never threaten or say what they are going to do. They just do it. You on't hear Simoni talking in the same tones abot his competitors - in fact he keeps on sying I am not Cippolini.

IMHO, riders who let their rids dot he talking have the most class - and i am by no means a LA plugger -

Again just my opinion - I mean, talk is inexpensive, so some do it toomuch..

-Nik