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Why didn't Kivilev attack today?(5 posts)

Why didn't Kivilev attack today?wjudd
Jul 26, 2001 9:48 AM
He's only 8 seconds behind JU. I doubt he expects to make time on him in the ITT tomorrow so why not today? Is he content to hold on to his 3rd (podium) spot?

Not making any political/cultural statements, just curious.
re: Why didn't Kivilev attack today?TJeanloz
Jul 26, 2001 10:02 AM
Because Telekom would have chased him down hard. And he's going to lose a lot of time to Ullrich tomorrow- so he'd need a pretty good gap to secure 2nd place. You're not going to get that gap if Telekom doesn't want you to have it. Furthermore, he's close enough to Armstrong that Postal would likely join the chase of any substantial gap.
re: Why didn't Kivilev attack today?Lanakila
Jul 26, 2001 10:02 AM
Because he would never get away with it. If he attacks, Telekom goes after him to protect Ullrich. ONCE goes to keep Beloki close to Kivikev and Ullrich. USPS goes to the front because Telekom is there. Now he has the three strongest teams in the Tour chasing him. 0% chance of success. Better to sit in and try to save energy to hold off Beloki in the TT. 8 seconds might as well be an hour if you are trailing Ullrich going into a TT and your name is not Armstrong. If he survives the TT in front of Beloki, he may be on the podium in Paris.
Good questionmr_spin
Jul 26, 2001 10:09 AM
Kivilev seems to be playing it smart. He lucked into a situation and he is going to fight to stay there.

As a guy more noted for climbing, I suspect he doesn't have the power to stay away on the flatter stages. Most climbers don't. Did you see Pantani trying to drive the break on the flats in the Giro this year? (After the big crash that took out Casagrande.) Clearly out of his element!

Another reason is that Telekom is a well-drilled squad at pulling back breaks. Comparable to the red train in its heyday, maybe. It's tough to stay away from them when they are motivated.

Finally, I doubt he thinks he can move into second overall. Surely he must realize that Ullrich is one of the best TT guys in the world. So why waste energy he'll need in the final TT to solidify his 3rd? They say Beloki is a better TT guy, but he must be confident that he can take him. We've seen so many cases where guys not noted for TT come up with big rides, such as Simoni in the 2001 Giro and Pantani in the 1998 Tour.
re: Why didn't Kivilev attack today?Guillermo
Jul 26, 2001 12:52 PM
...Because it's a national holiday in Kazakstan.