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Will it be Lance's dance at the TDF? Who can beat him? (nm)(7 posts)

Will it be Lance's dance at the TDF? Who can beat him? (nm)Paul
Jun 6, 2002 5:28 AM
I have it from an inside source...Wayne
Jun 6, 2002 5:58 AM
Lance will fall and break a collarbone while pre-riding a mountain stage, this will lead to a wide open race similar to the recent Giro but without the drug scandals. And don't ask how I know this, I'd have to kill you if I told!
Tyler rode with a ripped shoulder,I predict it's Lance's dance nPaul
Jun 6, 2002 6:50 AM
Yeah, but the nature...Wayne
Jun 6, 2002 7:51 AM
of Tyler's injury was such that cycling while probably somewhat painful was do-able. If the sport was left one-arm bouquet tossing, he'd been out. I assure you unless it's a really minor fracture of a collarbone Armstrong will be out. We all know Americans are tougher than anybody else in the world but even we have our limits!
Only fate can beat Lance...mr_spin
Jun 6, 2002 7:06 AM
There is nobody going to the Tour who can beat Lance. In fact, there is no one riding today who can beat Lance. Maybe Casagrande will show up and make it interesting in the mountains (without using his bike as a weapon!), but there is no way anyone challenges Lance on GC unless he gets sick or hurt.

The race for second and third could be interesting. Without Ullrich, it is wide open. Sevilla, Casagrande, Beloki, Moreau, Kivilev, Casar, Hamilton if his shoulder heals. Cauchiolli (?) on Alessio, who got 3rd in the Giro. There's a guy I like on ONCE, Jose Azevedo, who could do well if it weren't for Beloki.
I totally agree with your assessment...Wayne
Jun 6, 2002 8:02 AM
especially the way Armstrong is riding so far this year. But don't all the great ones appear unbeatable until it happens? Remember when Riis cracked Indurain and that was that! That was when I was first started following cycling, were there any signs of chinks in the armour before that day?
1996mr_spin
Jun 6, 2002 8:42 AM
I remember watching the 1996 tour and there weren't a lot of early signs that Indurain wasn't in top form. Still, he cracked on stage 7, and cracked hard. He ended up down 3 minutes or so on Riis, and that was game over. Riis was on fire, and the only one who could beat him was his first lieutenant, Jan Ullrich!

It's said that Indurain used to go into the Tour a bit heavy and ride it off during the first week. As a result, he would peak during the second week. In 1996, there was terrible weather for the first week, the riding was slow, and he never got the chance.