|Jan and the pursuit of the GREEN jersey||peloton|
Jul 23, 2001 7:30 AM
|Now that the mountains are over, and Lance's lead seems insurmountable will Jan help Zabel in his quest for a record setting sixth green jersey? Eric is only a few points behind O'Grady at this point, and is still in striking distance. I wonder if over the next few flat stages if Eric will have the support of Jan and Telekom to bring home at least one jersey and the record. Jan proved very formidable as a lead-out for Hondo in the Giro. Can you imagine Eric losing with the work-horse that is Jan pulling at the front for him?|
|A very possible strategy...||Cima Coppi|
Jul 23, 2001 7:49 AM
|Telekom can certainly set their sites on helping Zabel re-obtain the green jersey, but there are considerations to be made if JU is to help the team in this quest. |
1. By setting up a lead out, Jan puts himself in greater danger of being involved in a crash due to the high speeds. He still has to consider his podium finish in Paris on this one.
2. It takes a great deal of energy on the part of a rider to lead out his sprinter. JU must consider he is only 8 seconds ahead of Kivilev for that precious 2nd place spot. Too much energy expended in helping Zabel could exhaust JU for the final ITT.
Consider this, Telekom has 8 members of the team left, so if they leave out JU to ride safely next to LA, there are still 6 teammates to help Zabel get back the green. I, for one, am hoping he can do it.
|Kivilev is still close||mr_spin|
Jul 23, 2001 8:10 AM
|Jan has to finish off Kivilev for good, which probably won't happen until the long TT. Then there are two more stages after that. A stage win is worth 25 points, so if they can get Zabel at least one more stage, he could take it. The problem is that second is still worth 20 points, so O'Grady has to finish back in the field for that to work.
What would be cool is if Jan took a flyer with Zabel on Wednesday's stage, which is a course well suited to Jan's talents as a one-day racer. Long, hot, and lots of sharp hills. Armstrong, an excellent one-day man himself, would be sure to follow, ideally with Hincapie. A foursome like that could run up some huge gains on more climber oriented guys like Beloki. Would Jan give Zabel the win? Probably. I'll guarantee that Armstrong would give Hincapie the win if he could.